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The Raiders have given up an average of Justin Herbert should keep the Chargers competitive in a close, high-scoring game. Buffalo is against teams that are out of the playoff picture, covering the spread in four of those games. Drew Lock should see a production drop after his surprising four-touchdown performance in Week It was only a couple of weeks ago that the Texans came a few yards away from upsetting the Colts.
Deshaun Watson might be able to find a way to keep Houston in this one. Tennessee has not given up fewer than 25 points in back-to-back games all season. The Vikings rank fourth in yards per play, while the Bears are just 28th. Chicago is against the spread in its last five games. Atlanta is against teams that enter Week 15 with at least eight wins, and the Falcons lost three of those games by at least 13 points.
Tampa Bay was last defeated by a team that has a losing record in Week 5. They rank fourth in yards per play allowed. Baltimore has been dominant against the easiest part of its schedule, beating its five worst opponents by a combined 75 points. Jacksonville will likely end the season on a game losing streak. Only one team has allowed fewer points than Miami. Cam Newton has been such an ineffective passer with five touchdowns and 10 interceptions that it might be time for New England to give Jarrett Stidham a chance under center.
The Dolphins are an NFL-best against the spread. The loss of receiver Deebo Samuel will hurt an already struggling San Francisco offense. Pick: Seahawks Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons , 1 p. Line: Buccaneers -6 Total: In a convincing win over Minnesota last week, the Buccaneers showed how effective their pass rush can be in creating the disruptions necessary to win tough games. The Buccaneers are up to a 94 percent chance of ending their season playoff drought, but the line may be too aggressive this week.
Cleveland Browns at Giants , p. On the strength of its record, Cleveland has an 84 percent chance of making the playoffs for the first time since While the Giants have made a remarkable turnaround from earlier this season, and have a 25 percent chance of winning the N. East, they are overmatched in this one. Pick: Browns So we devised a game where you can guess if N.
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers , p. Line: Packers This game has the potential to be a trap, with the Packers looking ahead to a tougher matchup in Week 16 against Tennessee, but Rodgers has been locked in and may trail only Patrick Mahomes in the race for league most valuable player. Pick: Packers Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos , p. Add that the Bills can relax a little considering their 98 percent chance of winning the A.
East but just a 1 percent chance at a first-round bye , and this game could be closer than oddsmakers are predicting. Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens , 1 p. There were so many jokes. Lamar Jackson engineered one of the wildest wins in recent N. Laugh all you want — Jackson swears he was receiving fluids to alleviate cramping — but the win was a welcome change in what had been a difficult period for the Ravens Jackson finally looked like himself, and the Ravens, with a 74 percent chance of making the playoffs, no longer seemed like a team in peril.
This game does not figure to be nearly as entertaining. Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts , 1 p. In most years, this would be a key A. South matchup, but the Texans have been eliminated from playoff contention and the Colts have an 82 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 36 percent chance of winning their division. Indianapolis, on the other hand, made crucial personnel moves in the off-season that have taken the team from mediocre to top 10 in offense and defense.
Pick: Colts Detroit Lions at Tennessee Titans , 1 p. Line: Titans Barring high jinks, Detroit seems remarkably overmatched, especially if Matthew Stafford misses the game with the rib injury he sustained last week. Tennessee is in a tough fight with Indianapolis for the A.
South crown, and has a 64 percent chance of holding off the Colts, so the Titans certainly have motivation to keep winning. Pick: Titans Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings , 1 p. Even accounting for that, Minnesota should be fine, provided the team gives quarterback Kirk Cousins more time to work than he had in a loss to Tampa Bay. Pick: Vikings New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins , 1 p. Line: Dolphins The Patriots have missed the playoffs just twice since , but even with a recent hot streak they are down to a 4 percent chance at qualifying this year, and that number will drop to zero with a loss to the Dolphins , who have a 43 percent chance at a wild card.
The tables appear to have turned in this rivalry, with New England being the scrappy underdog that could spoil things for the seemingly superior team. Pick: Dolphins Jets at Los Angeles Rams , p. Instead of developing under the tutelage of an era-defining offensive genius like Coach Sean McVay, Darnold has been saddled with Coach Adam Gase , and the Jets seem to have little chance of avoiding a winless season.
The talent imbalance in this game — reflected accurately in the point spread — is extreme, and a win for Los Angeles should help the team increase its 60 percent chance of winning the competitive N.