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Zero Hedge is at his most apocalyptic this afternoon, saying that "the end may be nigh" for bitcoin now that Silk Road, the bitcoin-fueled drugs bazaar, has been closed down by the Feds.

Nfl football betting lines spreads SecondMarket has contact details for a very large number of accredited investors, many of whom trust the company and the felix salmon reuters bitcoins capital it has built up over the years. If Silk Road is now shut down and if no one else manages to enter the vacuum caused by its disappearance, then the FBI will at a stroke have managed to remove the single skeeviest aspect of bitcoin, and the main reason why people like Chuck Schumer are so suspicious of it. In other words, bitcoin is the ultimate speculative vehicle, one which you might be able to trade in and out of, but one which has no value at all as a buy-and-hold investment. Gox, in front of the building where the digital marketplace operator was formerly housed in Tokyo February 26, The bank tax rises from the dead By Felix Salmon. What, then, would the coin be worth?
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Shakhtar vs real madrid betting preview goal The bank tax rises from the dead. Felix Salmon. Continue Reading To put it another way, there is nothing surprising about what bitcoin is doing right now; it has done it many times in the past, and it will probably do it in the future as well. Can bitcoin capitalize on the death of Mt Gox? This is a truly glorious argument, in the Humpty Dumpty sense of the word:. And with respect to bitcoin in particular, its most exciting aspect is not its value, but rather its status as an all-but-frictionless international payments mechanism.

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Now, we enter the world of Bitcoin 2. My tentative answers to those two questions are yes and no, respectively. Bitcoin is based on mistrust , which makes it almost impossible for this circle to be squared. The bitcoin faithful — who include the likes of the Winklevii and Barry Silbert , along with Ben Horowitz — will happily celebrate the end of Mt Gox and try to use it as a way to persuade the general public, and regulators, that the field is growing up and can be trusted. The big question is whether anybody is going to believe them.

As far as the public is concerned, Mt Gox was bitcoin. Most of us who never bought any bitcoins in the first place feel as though we likely dodged a bullet. And we have no particular desire to enter that war zone now, even if it is marginally safer than it was before. Gox, in front of the building where the digital marketplace operator was formerly housed in Tokyo February 26, A mock Bitcoin is displayed on a table in an illustration picture taken in Berlin January 7, Which hardly squares with the thesis that he was using his real name.

Then there are the duff notes in the piece. And Goodman can certainly overstretch, as for instance here:. Remember that the pseudonym theory was not a mere theory, up until yesterday — it was almost universally accepted as the truth. Nakamoto writes, with double spaces after periods and other format quirks. Merchants must be wary of their customers, hassling them for more information than they would otherwise need. A certain percentage of fraud is accepted as unavoidable.

These costs and payment uncertainties can be avoided in person by using physical currency, but no mechanism exists to make payments over a communications channel without a trusted party. How is it possible that Goodman would notice double spaces after the periods, here, but would not notice that the sheer fluency of the language is quite incompatible with everything we know about how Dorian writes and speaks?

The press just turns that into a pirate currency angle. Maybe instead make it about the open source project. His lack of fluency in English is clearly real; he has a credible explanation for the words he said in front of Goodman; and he has a guilelessness to him which would be very hard to fake, especially over the course of many hours with a skeptical reporter. And conversely, if you believe that Dorian is not Satoshi, then you at the very least have to wonder at the astonishing number of coincidences that Goodman has uncovered.

Newsweek could have done that. That decision was ill-advised. And anybody who says that it is certain is wrong. I believe that Goodman believes that Dorian is Satoshi. But belief is not enough. Dan Rather believed that the Killian documents were genuine; Hugh Trevor-Roper believed that the Hitler diaries were genuine; Lara Logan believed that Dylan Davies was telling the truth about Benghazi.

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Who then promptly came out and denied everything. Which means that one of the two is wrong: either Nakamoto is lying through his teeth, or Newsweek has made what is probably the biggest and most embarrassing blunder in its year history. Once upon a time, remittances, especially to Mexico, were the next big thing. In , for instance, Bank of America bought Puerto Rico, which is already junk-rated and which is facing yet another downgrade to its credit rating, is in no position to call any shots when it comes to raising new debt.

But it also means changing the governing law of the bonds, from Puerto Rico to New York. I was talking to a woman who was complaining about the move and about the amount of time that the Mexico office would sometimes take before arriving at a decision. But my view was that moving such operations to Mexico was probably a good thing, on net.

After all, it was New York which missed the entire subprime problem, along with many other incidents in which Citi managed to blow itself up. Of course, this being Washington, the initiative never got off the ground, and was largely forgotten — until now :.

A word of entirely unnecessary advice for anybody on the Pimco trading floor Tuesday morning: do not look Bill Gross in the eye. Or talk. You can see why they called it the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust. Without their name in there somewhere, they would never have gotten a respectful thousand-word article in the NYT just for making a speculative SEC filing. To be clear: this thing is a really, really silly idea, from a pair of brothers whose main ambition, these days, is to be the biggest helminths in the bitcoinverse.

With their new product, the Winklevii are basically separating the two, and selling — for an extra fee — the stupid-investment part of bitcoin without any of the benefits of the much more interesting and useful payments-mechanism aspect.

Which is that the SEC will never, ever, approve this product. Still, the Winklevii have made their SEC filing now, and have received lots of press around it. Just by doing that, before getting any kind of regulatory approval, have helped to make the idea of bitcoins just that tiny bit more legitimate. ETFs have never been more popular as an asset. The result, Bloomberg reports, is that many of the less liquid ETFs are seeing increasingly alarming gaps between their own values and the values of the securities they represent.

This is a truly glorious argument, in the Humpty Dumpty sense of the word:. Humpty Dumpty smiled contemptuously.